ახალი პოლიტიკური მოძრაობა – ძველი სახეებით
ნინო ცხვარაძე 591 98 24 30
2020 wlis saparlamento arCevnebamde weliwadze cota metia darCenili, Tumca politikuri temperatura aqedanve matulobs.partiebi da politikuri gaerTianebebi yvela resurss iyeneben, rom mosaxleobas `ekeklucon~, SesaZloa iTqvas, naadrevad iWeren Tadarigs jer saarCevno biuletenebSi, Semdeg ki parlamentSi adgilis mosapoveblad
saarCevno siaSi moxvedrisTvis ibrZolebs axali politikuri moZraoba `gamarjvebuli saqarTvelo~, romelic am dReebSi irakli oqruaSvilma daafuZna. misi gancxadebiT, `gamarjvebuli saqarTvelo~ gabrazebuli adamianebis erTobaa. wina xelisuflebis eqsministris gundSi am etapze arian uzenaesi sasamarTlos yofili Tavmjdomare, ruseTSi saqarTvelos yofili elCi da uSiSroebis sabWos yofili mdivani kote kemularia, koalicia `qarTuli ocnebis~ yofili wevri da 2012 wlis mowvevis parlamentari gubaz sanikiZe, centraluri saarCevno komisiisa da smk-is yofili Tavmjdomare guram CalagaSvili, parlamentis yofili deputati valeri gelbaxiani, msaxiobi da telewamyvani nika ramiSvili – metsaxelad drupi.
`gamarjvebuli saqarTvelos~ mTavari mizani, rogorc ukve daanonsda, xelisuflebidan `qarTuli ocnebis~ CamoSorebaa. principSi, axali politikuri moZraoba arc pirvelia da arc ukanaskneli iqneba, romelic moqmedi xelisuflebis winaaRmdeg gamodis, Tumca moaxerxebs Tu vera romelime opoziciuri Zala amas, momavali gviCvenebs.
`gamarjvebuli saqarTvelo~ mzadaa yvela politikur ZalasTan TanamSromlobisTvis. gamonaklisi arc is partiaa, romlis xelisuflebaSi yofnis drosac irakli oqruaSvili jer opoziciaSi wavida, Semdeg cixeSi da bolos qveyanac datova. diax, `gamarjvebuli saqarTvelo~ `erTian nacionalur moZraobasTanac~ iTanamSromlebs. ise, sazogadoebas didad ar gaukvirdeba, Tu irakli oqruaSvils da mis Tanamoazreebs yofil saxelisuflebo partiasTan erTad vixilavT. `nacionalebTan~ TanamSromlobis mzaoba Tavdacvis yofilma ministrma 2018 wlis saprezidento arCevnebisas daafiqsira, roca is gaerTianebuli opoziciis saprezidento kandidats – grigol vaSaZes Sexvda.
– xelisuflebaSi profesionalebi unda moviyvanoT, davamarcxoT korufcia da kriminali, siRaribe. unda davabrunoT qveynidan gasulebi, – acxadebs kote kemularia.
gubaz sanikiZe qveynis ganviTarebis perspeqtivas da saqarTvelosTvis kavkasiis medroSis poziciis dabrunebis gzas `gamarjvebul saqarTveloSi~ xedavs – `sadac azdaki daamarcxebs murusiZes da moxdeba ganpatiJeba avazakTa qvabisa am qveyanaSi~. . .
rogorc ukve aRvniSneT, axlad dafuZnebuli politikuri moZraoba yvela im opoziciur ZalasTan iTanamSromlebs, romelic biZina ivaniSvilis da `qarTuli ocnebis~ damarcxebisTvis ibrZolebs. irakli oqruaSvili imasac ambobs, rom mzadaa `qarTuli ocnebis~ im wevrebTan TanamSromlobisTvis, romlebic biZina ivaniSvils daupirispirdebian.
ratom gadawyvita irakli oqruaSvilma aqtiur politikaSi dabruneba? vidre am kiTxvaze politologi aslan lorTqifaniZe gvipasuxebda, vTxoveT, mkiTxvelisTvis oqruaSvilis begraundi Seexsenebina.
– irakli oqruaSvilis xelisuflebaSi dabruneba ukavSirdeba 2003 wlis `vardebis revolucias~. SevardnaZis xelisuflebaSi is iusticiis maSindeli ministris mixeil saakaSvilis moadgiled muSaobda, iyo `nacionaluri moZraobis~ aqtiuri wevri da saakaSvilis uaxloesi Tanagundeli, avtoritarul xelisuflebaSi yofnisas Sedioda im `top-xuTeulSi~, romelic qveynis marTvasTan dakavSirebul gadawyvetilebebs iRebda. irakli oqruaSvilis monawileobiT moxda telekompania `rusTavi 2~-is wilebis saxelisuflebo biznesmenebze iZulebiT gadaformeba (mxolod erosi kiwmariSvilma gaakeTa es nebayoflobiT) da misi kontroli xelisuflebis mier. irakli oqruaSvilis Sinagan saqmeTa ministrobis dros moxda vazagaSvilis gaxmaurebuli mkvleloba policielebis mier da am danaSaulis `Cafarcxva~. mis saxels ukavSirdeba cxinvalis konfliqtis gaRviveba da iq specoperaciis Catareba, cxinvalis maRlobebis aReba. sammxrivi molaparakebebis Sedegad Cvenma specrazmma aRebuli adgilebi datova. irakli oqruaSvili saxelisuflebo gundSi yofnis dros mxars uWerda saqarTvelos teritoriuli mTlianobis aRdgenas Zalismieri meTodebiT da am mizniT iTxovda dsT-is e.w. samSvidobo Zalebis gayvanasTan dakavSirebiT saqarTvelos xelisuflebis mier gadawyvetilebis miRebas. generalur prokurorad muSaobis drosac is gamoirCeoda xisti meTodebiT. misi Tavdacvis ministrobis periods ukavSirdeba specfondebSi biznesmenebis Tanxebis iZulebiT akumulireba da am saxsrebis gaumWvirvaled xarjva. mogvianebiT mas konfliqti mouvida mixeil saakaSvilTan da Tanamdeboba xmauriT datova. oqruaSvilisve informaciiT, man uari ganacxada saakaSvilis ukanono davalebebis Sesrulebaze. opoziciaSi mis wasvlas, mis satelevizio gamosvlas saxalxo mRelvareba da opoziciis gaaqtiureba mohyva, daaxloebiT erTi wlis Semdeg ki sakuTari partiis ofisSi daakaves. eqsministrs Tanamdebobis borotad gamoyenebaSi, fulis gamoZalvasa da samsaxurebriv gulgrilobaSi dasdes brali. man cixeSi, Sinagan saqmeTa saministros mier gakeTebuli CanaweriT, mixeil saakaSvilis winaaRmdeg yvela braldeba uaryo, ris sanacvlodac gaaTavisufles da ucxoeTSi gaaZeves. safrangeTSi politikuri TavSesafari miiRo da xelisuflebis cvlilebis Semdeg saqarTveloSi dabrunda, ra drosac is daapatimres da daaxloebiT erT weliwadSi yvela braldeba mouxsnes – scnes politdevnilad. es aris irakli oqruaSvilis politikuri begraundis mokle Sefaseba, – acxadebs aslan lorTqifaniZe.
sazogadeobas, politikosebisgan gansxvavebiT, mokle mexsiereba ar aqvs, Sesabamisad, 2018 wlis saprezidento arCevnebis dros davinaxeT, rogor Seurigda irakli oqruaSvili `nacionalur moZraobas~, Tumca maT urTierTobas gagrZeleba ar mohyolia. politologi aslan lorTqifaniZe acxadebs, rom oqruaSvilma am qmedebiT, `nacionalur moZraobasTan~ partniorobiT xelisuflebis cvlilebis survili gamoxata, Tumca es partnioroba ar Sedga mis mimarT `nacionalTa~ araerTgvarovani damokidebulebis gamo, manamde ki `qarTuli ocnebis~ xelisuflebaSi Tanamonawileobac surda.
irakli oqruaSvilis mizani, aslan lorTqifaniZis TqmiT, sxva politikosebis miznisgan ar gansxvavdeba da es xelisuflebaSi mosvlaa.
kiTxvaze – SesaZlebelia Tu ara `gamarjvebuli saqarTvelo~ ganvixiloT mesame politikur Zalad, politologi gvpasuxobs: `dRes moqmed arc erT politikur partias, maT Soris arc irakli oqruaSvilis politikur moZraobas Seswevs unari, damoukideblad Camoyalibdes ori dominanti politikuri Zalis alternativad. savaraudod, es politikuri moZraoba erT-erTi `mesame~ politikuri koaliciis nawili gaxdeba.
cxadia, irakli oqruaSvilis samomavlo politikuri gegmebi, TanamoazreebTan erTad, 2020 wlis saparlamento arCevnebs ukavSirdeba. sainteresoa, mainc ra Sansi SeiZleba hqondes axal politikur moZraobas? aslan lorTqifaniZe ambobs, rom damoukideblad mas gauWirdeba 3-procentiani barieris daZleva, misi mcirericxovani amomrCeveli ki iqneba rogorc moqmedi opoziciuri partiebidan, ise `gadauwyveteli~ eleqtoratidan.
irakli oqruaSvili, rogorc zemoT aRvniSneT, xmamaRla acxadebs, rom mzadaa `qarTuli ocnebis~ im wevrebTanac iTanamSromlos, romlebic biZina ivaniSvils daupirispirdebian. marTalia, am dromde aseTi ar Cans, Tumca partiidan demarSiT araerTi adamiani wavida.
– irakli oqruaSvilis mier ukve wardgenil gundSi raime RirebulebiT erTobas, saerTo ideologias ver vxedav. magaliTad, kote kemularia `nacionaluri moZraobidan~ modis, xolo valeri gelbaxiani – `aRorZinebidan~, amitom mis partiaSi nebismieri politikuri begraundis adamiani SeiZleba gaerTiandes, maT Soris, `qarTuli ocnebis~ yofili wevrebic. mas amgvari politikuri erToba sWirdeba sxva partiebTan TanamSromlobisa da politikur procesebSi aqtiuri monawileobisaTvis. irakli oqruaSvili xelaxla cdilobs Tavis damkvidrebas qarTul politikaSi, – gviTxra aslan lorTqifaniZem.
– irakli oqruaSvilis adgilas didi politikuri miznebi ar meqneboda, – acxadebs regionis sakanonmdeblo organos warmomadgeneli vaxtang wulaZe. dDeputati ambobs, rom vinmesTvis Seuracxyofis miyeneba ar surs, Tumca darwmunebulia, rogorc irakli oqruaSvili, ise mis irgvliv Sekrebili adamianebi politikur aminds ver Seqmnian da verc politikur rukaze daimkvidreben adgils. igi gamoricxavs `ocnebaze~ ganawyenebuli an am partiis yofili saxeebis irakli oqruaSvilTan gaerTianebasac. rac Seexeba `gamarjvebuli saqarTvelos~ mesame Zalad moazrebas, vaxtang wulaZis pozicia aseTia: aucilebelia qveyanaSi arsebobdes jansaRi opozicia swori politikuri procesebisTvis.
– dRevandeli politikuri mocemuloba aseTia – revanSistuli `nacionaluri moZraoba~ ibralebs opozicionerobas. CemTvis am partiis gakeTebuli saqmeebi mavnebluria. axali opoziciuri Zala rom unda gamoCndes, araerTxel gviTqvams da partiis liderebsac daufiqsirebiaT, rom xelisufleba unda gadavabaroT normalur da Cvenze ukeTes opoziciur partias. ar SeiZleba iseTi marginaluri da revanSistuli partiebi, rogoric `nacionaluri moZraoba~ da `evropuli saqarTveloa~, opoziciur Zalad iTvlebodes. maTi mizania qveyana daabrunon im mocemulobaSi, romelSic iyo. irakli oqruaSvilis gverdiT vixileT gubaz sanikiZe. 2012 wels Cven xelisuflebaSi koaliciiT movediT, Tumca bevri adamiani dRes CvenTan aRar aris, bevric politikuri rukidan gaqra, maT Soris Rirseuli adamianebic iyvnen, – aRniSna CvenTan saubrisas vaxtang wulaZem. misi TqmiT, momavali wlis saparlamento arCevnebSi `gamarjvebuli saqarTvelo~ erT-erTi rigiTi partia iqneba, romelic mcire raodenobiT xmebs miiRebs – naTesavebisa da axloblebisgan.
– ara mxolod `gamarjvebuli saqarTvelos~ dafuZneba, pozitiuria isic, rom sazogadoeba TandaTan biZina ivaniSvilis winaaRmdeg ikribeba, – ase afasebs axali politikuri moZraobis dafuZnebas aWaris umaRlesi sabWos `erTiani nacionaluri moZraobis~ deputati gia abulaZe da dasZens, rom 2020 wlis arCevnebisas sxvadasxva formiT gaerTiandeba xalxi da nebismieri gaerTianeba, romelic qveyanas biZina ivaniSvilis reJimisgan gaaTavisuflebs, dadebiTi iqneba.
– yvela politikuri Zalis konsolidacia unda moxdes Cveni qveynis araformaluri mmarTvelisgan gasaTavisufleblad. `gamarjvebul saqarTvelos~ gind mesame da gind mexuTe Zala daarqviT, saboloo jamSi, yvela opoziciuri, prodasavluri partia erTiandeba ivaniSvilis reJimis dasasruleblad, – aRniSna CvenTan saubrisas gia abulaZem.
– iq, sadac irakli oqruaSvilia – Zveli politikuri saxe, albaT, paradoqsulia, vuwodoT mas axali politikuri moZraoba. darwmunebuli var, `gamarjvebuli saqarTvelo~ dakompleqtdeba Zveli saxeebiT. Cveulebrivi dotacia xdeba karuselis principiT, rac 90-iani wlebidan araerTxel gvinaxavs qarTul politikaSi, – acxadebs `samoqalaqo moZraobis~ aWaris regionuli organizaciis xelmZRvaneli genri doliZe. misive TqmiT, raRac tipis gadalageba xdeba 2020 wlis saparlamento arCevnebisTvis.
– Tu konservatiuli miznebi eqneba `gamarjvebul saqarTvelos~, momavali wlis arCevnebSi xmebs konservatiul Zalebs waarTmeven, Tu liberaluri Sexedulebebi da faseulobebi – liberalur Zalebs. am etapze isini sad arian, marjvniv, marcxniv Tu centrSi, ar vici, Sesabamisad, mets verafers vityvi, – gviTxra genri doliZem, romelic arc imas gamoricxavs, rom SesaZloa, axali politikuri Zalis ukan biZina ivaniSvili idges.
– am etapze rTuli saTqmelia, irakli oqruaSvili TanamoazreebTan erTad biZina ivaniSvilis winaaRmdeg ibrZolebs, Tu ara. SesaZlebelia, maT ukan biZina ivaniSvili idges. calsaxad, irakli oqruaSvilis pirvelive mesijidan daskvnis gakeTeba naadrevia. unda davakvirdeT maT moqmedebebs, maT namdvil saxes swored arCevnebisas davinaxavT, – gviTxra dasasrul genri doliZem, romelic arc imas gamoricxavs, rom `gamarjvebuli saqarTvelos~ rigebSi vixiloT rogorc `qarTuli ocnebidan~, ise `nacionaluri moZraobidan~ wasuli saxeebi.
axali politikuri gaerTianeba oqtomberSi yrilobas Caatarebs, ris Semdegac 2020 wlis saparlamento arCevnebisTvis mzadebas daiwyebs.
