რა უნდა გააკეთოს ქართულმა მხარემ, რომ უკრაინის მსგავსად, ჩვენი ქვეყანა მსოფლიო ლიდერების დღის წესრიგში იყოს?
äïøï õëèåîòêò 27 48 93 –
Tanamedrove msofliosTvis uaRresad mniSvnelovania aSS-isa da ruseTis urTierTTanamSromloba saWirboroto sakiTxebSi. udavoa, rom globalur politikaSi aris sami hegemoniuri Zala – amerika, CineTi da ruseTi, romlebsac TavianTi interesebi amoZravebT – ruseTi ewinaaRmdegeba natos gafarToebas, aSS rogorc zesaxelmwifo, ruseTis da CineTis gaaqtiurebas erovnuli interesebis sazianod miiCnevs da ase grZeldeba wlidan wlamde. . .
aSS-Si axali administraciis arCevis Semdeg Cndeba logikuri kiTxvebi – rogor warimarTeba aSS-is da ruseTis urTierToba, romeli mxare wava daTmobaze, saqarTvelos sakiTxi ramdenad aqtualuri iqneba amerikisTvis Tundac okupirebuli teritoriebis deokupaciis TvalsazrisiT? am mimarTebiT uaRresad mniSvnelovania amerikisa da ruseTis TanamSromloba, paeqroba da faruli Tu Ria dapirispirebac, rac usaTuod aisaxeba msoflioze da maT Soris saqarTvelozec. unda iTqvas, saqarTvelosadmi aSS-is mkafio finansuri, ekonomikuri da diplomatiuri mxardaWera rom ara, ruseTi mxolod afxazeTis da cxinvalis regionis okupaciiT ar dakmayofildeboda. dRemde rom SevinarCuneT damoukidebloba, es Cveni eris udreki sulis da dasavleTis Tanadgomis Sedegia, ris Sesaxebac araerTxel gvisaubria.
ara mxolod qarTveli, aramed dasavleli analitikosebic guldasmiT akvirdebian da daakvirdebian aSS-is axali prezidentis, baidenis pirvel nabijebs ruseTTan da mokavSireebTan mimarTebiT, rac garkveulwilad, daskvnebis saSualebas mogvcems. amaswinaT ruseTis prezidentTan, vladimer putinTan pirveli satelefono saubris dros, aSS-is prezidentma isaubra ukrainaze. baidens ar uxsenebia ruseTis samezoblo da kerZod, saqarTvelo, romlis teritoriuli mTlianobac, ukrainis msgavsad, ruseTis mier dairRva. es faqti saqarTveloSi usiamovno signalad aRiqves. TeTri saxlis informaciiT, baidenma putins naTlad ganumarta, rom aSS mtkiced imoqmedebs sakuTari interesebis dasacavad da ruseTis im qmedebebis sawinaaRmdegod, romlebic zians ayenebs aSS-sa da mis mokavSireebs. ruseTis damazianebel qmedebebze saubari ki aSS-is prezidentma ukrainis suverenitetisadmi mxardaWeris gamoxatviT daiwyo. `prezidentma kidev erTxel daadastura aSS-is mxardaWera ukrainis mimarT. man, aseve, wamoswia sxva SemaSfoTebeli sakiTxebi. maT Soris hakeruli Tavdasxma, aleqsei navalnis mowamvla~, – vkiTxulobT TeTri saxlis vebgverdze gamoqveynebul gancxadebaSi.
ratom mxolod ukraina da ara saqarTvelo? vidre amis Sesaxeb visaubrebdeT, manamde aranakleb mniSvnelovan garemoebaze gavamaxvileb yuradRebas: dRevandeli msoflio ar aris iseTi, rogoric iyo 20 an 30 wlis winaT. veravin uaryofs ruseTis mzard ambiciebs globalur politikaSi. aseve, veravin uaryofs CineTis, indoeTis, TurqeTis, iranis da cxadia, evrokavSiris mzard interesebs globalur Tu regionalur politikaSi. Sesabamisad, TeTri saxlis administracias garkveuli faqtorebis gaTvaliswineba mouwevs, anu dRevandel msoflioSi mimdinare procesebi metyvelebs imaze, rom vercerTi saxelmwifo gadawyvetilebas calmxrivad ver Rebulobs (ruseTi amovardnilia am mxriv, rac dasavleTis SeSfoTebas iwvevs), nebismierma aucileblad unda gaiTvaliswinos sxva dainteresebuli saxelmwifos interesebi. mxolod, rogorc vTqviT, ruseTia gamonaklisi. igi ar iTvaliswinebs postsabWoTa qveynebis nacionalur interesebs. amis TvalsaCino magaliTebia moldova, ukraina da saqarTvelo. am mxriv, isic udavoa, rom dasavleTi saqarTveloze metad gverdiT ukrainas daudga. man sanqciebi swored ukrainaSi ruseTis agresiulobis SesanarCuneblad daawesa. am kuTxiT, ismis kiTxva – ra unda gaakeTos qarTulma mxarem, rom ukrainis msgavsad Cveni qveyana iyos msoflio liderebis dRis wesrigSi? cxadia, msofliosTvis mniSvnelovania ukrainis mimarTuleba, Tumca saqarTvelo erTgvari dadasturebaa rusuli agresiisa da amis daviwyebas dasavleTi ar apirebs. faqtia, saqarTvelos teritoriis okupacia amZimebs saswors ruseTis sawinaaRmdego mxares. Sesabamisad, msoflio cdilobs, rom ukrainis gziT gavides afxazeTisa da cxinvalis regionis Sedegzec da es TavisTavad tovebs STabeWdilebas, rom ukrainas didi yuradReba eTmoba. eqspertebi acxadeben, rom ruseTi ver SeZlebs saqarTvelos mniSvnelobis dakninebas, Tumca saqarTvelosTan dakavSirebiT ruseTis dazvervis amaswinandeli gancxadeba Zalze damafiqrebelia. . . cxadia, rom gadamwyveti brZola mimdinareobs samxreT kavkasiaSi gavlenebis mosapoveblad. am mxriv, ruseTma ganimtkica poziciebi somxeTsa da azerbaijanSi yarabaRis omis Semdeg. misi samxedroebi samive samxreT kavkasiur qveyanaSia ganTavsebuli, somxeTsa da azerbaijanis yarabaRSi – kanonierad, saqarTvelos ZirZvel mxareebSi (afxazeTsa da cxinvalis regionSi) – ukanonod. isic aRsaniSnavia, rom saerTaSoriso politikuri situacia Zalian Seicvala bolo 5 wlis ganmavlobaSi. unda vaRiaroT, rom ruseTis federacia seriozulad brundeba globalur politikaSi. es dasavleTisTvis ukve seriozuli Tavsatexia. bunebrivia, dasavleTs sWirdeba axali midgomebis SemuSaveba ruseTTan mimarTebaSi, Tundac misi Sekavebis TvalsazrisiT.
dRes, samwuxarod, dasavleTSi ar arsebobs resursi, rom axali strategia daupirispiros ruseTs globalur politikaSi Sekavebis kuTxiT. amitom dasavleTSi am mxriv, mcire dabneulobac SeiniSneba. am dabneulobiT kargad sargeblobs moskovi da realur Sedegebs vimkiT, Tundac, siriis magaliTze. amgvari dabneulobis Sedegebi kargad Cans ukrainaSi da saqarTveloSi. samwuxarod, trampis administraciam am mxriv araferi moimoqmeda, piriqiT, gairTula urTierToba evrokavSirTan da faqtobrivad, miatova postsabWoTa sivrce. yarabaRis omi amis magaliTi iyo. udavoa, rom ruseTma ganimtkica gavlena samxreT kavkasiaSi da mxareebs axali kavkasiuri formati (ruseTi, TurqeTi, irani, azerbaijani, somxeTi, saqarTvelo) SesTavaza, rac faqtobrivad, niSnavs dasavleTis amogdebas am regionidan da metwilad, aq ruseTis interesebis gavrcelebas da dakanonebas. Tu ramdenad sicocxlisunariani da realuri iqneba es savaraudo kavkasiuri kavSiri, momavali dagvanaxebs, Tumca eqspertebi acxadeben, rom saqarTvelosTvis am kavSirSi gawevrianeba arasaxarbielo iqneba mravali mizezis gamo. jer erTi, ruseTi agresori qveyanaa, meorec, arc irani, arc TurqeT da miT ufro ruseTi demokratiuliobiT ar gamoirCeva da mmarTvelobis stili antidemokratiulia, amitom Tu dasavleTi aqtiurad ar Caereva da konkretul nabijebs ar gadadgams samxreT kavkasiasTan mimarTebiT, maSin moskovi sabolood daakabalebs aq mdebare qveynebs.
eqspertebi imediT Sehyureben aSS-is axal administracias. miuxedavad imisa, rom jo baidenma ruseTis liderTan pirveli satelefono saubrisas ar axsena saqarTvelo (am mxriv, unda iTqvas, rom didad arc Cven vaqtiurobT sagareo frontze). eqspertebi imedovneben, rom droTa ganmavlobaSi aSS-is administracia ufro mkafio ganacxadebebs gaakeTebs ruseTis mimarT Tundac okupirebuli teritoriebis deokupaciis TvalsazrisiT. am mxriv, amerikelma eqspertma amerikis xmasTan interviuSi xasgasmiT ganacxada, rom baidenis administracias ganzraxuli aqvs, aSS-s msoflio lideris roli daubrunos – agresiuli qmedebebisTvis upasuxod ar datovos ruseTi, gaaZlieros nato da meti yuradReba dauTmos mokavSireTa interesebsac. am kuTxiT, mTavari kiTxvaa – ra sakiTxebi iqneba amerikisTvis sagareo kuTxiT prioritetuli? rogorc analitikosebi acxadeben, pirvel rigSi, aSS-isTvis prioritetuli iqneba sakuTari interesebis dacva msoflios nebismier wertilSi. aseve, mniSvnelovania terorizmis winaaRmdeg brZola, pandemiis aRmofxvra. garda amisa, umniSvnelovanesi iqneba energetikuli usafrTxoebis uzrunvelyofa da proamerikuli reJimebis SenarCuneba ama Tu im qveyanaSi. yvelaze mTavari – amerikis upirobo lideris rolis uzrunvelyofa. am mxriv, or mosazrebas gamoTqvamen, pirveli versiiT, baideni samxreT kavkasias ruseTs Seatovebs, meore – aSS kidev ufro mWidrod iTanamSromlebs saqarTvelosTan da qmediT nabijebs gadadgams saqarTvelos Tavdacvisunarianobis asamaRleblad. ase Tu ise, erTi ram cxadia, qarTuli sakiTxi kvlav aqtualuria amerikisTvis. rac Seexeba aSS-is msoflio liderad darCenas, es damokidebulia aSS-is ekonomikuri da samxedro potencialis SenarCunebaze, rac realurad, didi gamowvevis winaSe dgas, Cvenma qveyanam ki unda SeinarCunos is sagareo kursi, romelic aRebuli aqvs.
