დაპირისპირების ახალი ეტაპი – ბაიდენის ვერდიქტი და პუტინის შემონათვალი . . .
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amerikis SeerTebuli Statebis axali administraciis politika rogor aisaxeba msoflio, maT Soris saqarTvelos politikaze? es kiTxva uinteresod ar unda mogeCvenoT, radgan saqarTvelo aSS-ruseTis interesebis arealSia, Cveni qveyana didadaa damokidebuli amerikis principulobaze iseT sakiTxebSi, rogorebicaa natos gafarToeba, ruseTis ambiciebis moTokva da masze zewola sxvadasxva sakiTxTan mimarTebaSi, rac garkveulwilad, ara marto amerikis siZlieres cxadyofs, aramed postsabWoTa qveynebis bedsac gansazRvravs aTeuli wlebis ganmavlobaSi . . .
`amerika dabrunda globalur politikaSi, daicavs mokavSireebs, uzrunvelyofs evroatlantikuri organizaciebis siZlieres da SeebrZoleba totalitarul reJimebs~, – es sityvebi aSS-is prezidentma jo baidenma inauguraciis Semdeg warmoTqva. sainteresoa sami Tvis Semdeg, romelic mas Semdeg gavida, risi miRweva SeZlo baidenma sagareo politikaSi? dasavleTSi bevrs sjera, rom amerikis axali administraciis pirobebSi baideni antirusuli politikis gamtarebeli gaxdeba, ruseTis mimarT mkacr politikas gaatarebs, magram am sami Tvis (Tu ar CavTvliT antiputinistur gacxadebas, rom is mkvlelia) ganmavlobaSi yvelaferi ruseTis sasikeTod viTardeba, magaliTad, eqsperti andrei ilarionovi ambobs, rom amerikis axali administraciis qmedebebi exmareba kremls da azaralebs ukrainas (cxadia, Cveni qveyanac zaraldeba), anu maqsimaluri ziani miadga ukrainas. mas mohyavs ramdenime magaliTi: 1. prezidentobis sami Tvis ganmavlobaSi jo baideni elaparaka putins da ar usaubria ukrainis prezidentTan, arada, ukrainis xelisufleba saubris iniciatori iyo; 2. praqtikulad, baidenis pirvelive gadawyvetilebiT moewera xeli (anu gaagrZela) xelSekrulebas `strategiuli birTvuli SeiaraRebis xelSekrulebis~ Sesaxeb, rac ase aRelvebda kremls – es imas niSnavs, rom kremlma dazoga miliardobiT dolari . . . arada, Tavis droze swored reiganis kosmosuri SeiaraRebis strategiis politikis Sedegad, moskovma ara mxolod miliardobiT zarali naxa, aramed ekonomikuri fiaskoc ganicada, ramac postsabWoTa qveynebis damoukidebloba ganapiroba; 3. baideni atarebs e. w. mwvane tolerantizms, romelic TiTqos bunebis ekologias exeba, aseve, uari Tqva axali gazsadenis mSeneblobaze, romelic realurad `CrdiloeT nakadi-2-is~ alternativa iyo. aman navTobze fasi 70 dolaris farglebSi gazarda, ramac ruseTis biujeti 500 miliardiT Seavso; 4. `CrdiloeT nakadi-2-is~ mimarT trampi agresiul politikas awarmoebda da garkveulwilad, SeaCera es proeqti, magram baidenma Tqva, rom `ar dauwesebs sanqciebs~ zemoaRniSnuli gazsadenis mSeneblobis ucxoel kompaniebs, ramac gaaaqtiura am gazsadenis mSenebloba! arada, es gazsadeni rom ar aSendes, eqspertTa TqmiT, ruseTi mniSvnelovan finansur zarals naxavs . . .
axals arafers vityvi, Tu aRvniSnav, rom ruseTze energodamokidebuli evropa ver dagvexmareba da, cxadia, metwilad, ruseTis interesebs gaiTvaliswinebs. gana, 2007 wlis buqarestis NATO-s samiti zemoTqmuls ar cxadyofs!? maSin swored germaniisa da safrangeTis mizeziT ar mogvces map-i, ramac Semdeg ruseTs saqarTvelos mimarT agresiis saSualeba misca.
ras unda niSnavdes baidenis zemoaRniSnuli qmedebebi ruseTis mimarT? xom ar mimdinareobs vaWroba gavlenis sferoebis axal gadanawilebaze? jerjerobiT gadaWriT ramis Tqma Znelia, radgan zesaxelmwifoebi ar Takiloben sxva qveynebis interesebis xelyofas. arada, sityvierad baidenma putins mkvleli uwoda da isic aRniSna, rom ruseTi agebs pasuxs agresiuli politikis gamo. dameTanxmebiT, zesaxelmwifoTa liderebi TavianT sityvebs sifrTxiliT arCeven, magram isic cxadia, rom politikaSi mTavari interesebia da Tu es interesebi maT sasargeblod tardeba, Seuracxyofasac aitanen, isic udavoa, rom putini ase advilad ar iviwyebs wlis wyenas, aki Tqva baidenis gasagonad, rom saerTod, mkvleli sxvis mkvlelobaze saubrobso, Tanac Seaxsena amerikas, rom ruseTi da amerika birTvuli zesaxelmwifoebi arian!
ram gaabraza baideni? rogorc irkveva, amerikis saprezidento arCevnebSi ruseTis Carevis faqtebi dadasturda, ramac baideni aRaSfoTa . . . da, eqspertebma uklebliv gaixsenes baidenis sainauguracio gancxadeba, rom Tu prezidenti gaxdeba, ecdeba ruseTi `Caayenos kalapotSi~ da misi qmedebebi SezRudos. ismis kiTxva – am mxriv ra viTarebaa, anu SeZlebs aSS ruseTis saerTaSoriso samarTlis normebSi moqcevas? Tu geopolitikur sivrces or naxevarsferod – amerikad da evraziad davyofT, aRmoCndeba, rom aSS-is gavlenis areali orive kontinentze Semcirebulia, aSkaraa, rom rig sakiTxebSi dasavleT evropa TeTri saxlis poziciebs bolomde ar iziarebs . . . . miuxedavad imisa, rom TiTqos SeiniSneba amerikis gavlenis Semcireba, eqspertebi fiqroben, rom igi jer kidev sakmaod Zlieria msoflioze da TiToeul saxelmwifozec ki. es aSkarad Cans gaeros uSiSroebis dacvis procesSic, – aSS-is winadadebas bevri saxelmwifo uWers mxars. garda amisa, Tu gadavavlebT Tvals Tanamedrove msoflio politikur rukas, davinaxavT, rom saxelmwifoebis absoluturi umravlesoba proamerikulia.
rac Seexeba amerikis gavlenis Semcirebis tendencias, amas mainc ver uarvyofT. mas ganapirobebs ramdenime faqtori: pirveli – ruseT-CineTis aliansi saerTaSoriso politikaSi da ruseTis mcdeloba, dabrundes globalur politikaSi, aRidginos is poziciebi, rac hqonda sabWoTa kavSiris dros. vinaidan zogadad, politikaSi urTierTobebs interesebi ganapirobebs, dRes aSS-s sakmaod seriozuli mokavSireebi hyavs msoflioSi didi britaneTis da israelis saxiT, aseve, partniorebi saudis arabeTisa da postsocialisturi saxelmwifoebis saxiT, rac ruseTis ukmayofilebas iwvevs. am mxriv, ruseTma samxreT kavkasiaSi poziciebi ganimtkica. saboloo gamarjvebisTvis mas saqarTvelos damorCileba sWirdeba. Tavis mxriv, amerikam ruseTs ekonomikuri sanqciebi dauwesa yirimis aneqsiis gamo, arada, bolo ramdenime welia, yoveli sanqciebis win gvesmis, rom igi welSi gatexes, magram realurad sanqciebis Semdeg vxedavT ruse-Tis morig agresiul ganwyobas saerTaSoriso Tanamegobrobis mimarT. es gamovlinda ukrainasTan, moldovasTan, manamde saqarTvelosTan dakavSirebiT, rac imas niSnavs, rom ruseTis mimarT ufro radikaluri sanqciebia misaRebi.
sami Tvea, rac baideni TeTri saxlis kabinetSia mokalaTebuli da am xnis ganmavlobaSi, cxadia, qmediT nabijebs ver gadadgamda sxvadasxva sakiTxTan mimarTebaSi, miT ufro ruseTTan dakavSirebiT, Tumca sasixarulo is aris, rom aSS saqarTvelos sando partniorad aRiqvams. es sulac ar niSnavs, rom aSS Cvens gasakeTebel saqmes (Tavisuflebis dacvas, demokratiis ganmtkicebas, adamianis uflebaTa dacvas, kanonis uzenaesobis pativiscemas, sasamarTlos damoukideblobas da evropuli kursis erTgulebas) moagvareben. isini dagvexmarebian (rasac aqamde akeTeben) rCevebiT, SeniSvnebiT da finansuri daxmarebaT, raTa saqarTvelo realurad gaxdes msoflio Tanamegobrobis wevri da ara – ruseTis orbitaSi myofi, sadac sxva saxelmwifos interesebs arafrad agdeben, rasac Tundac ruseT-saqarTvelos 30-wliani urTierTobac cxadyofs.
