დაუბრუნდება თუ არა საპარლამენტო ოპოზიცია ბოიკოტის რეჟიმს ?
ramdenad sandoa sociologiuri gamokiTxvebi?
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Cveni qveynis winaSe uamravi gamowvevaa, dawyebuli teritoriuli mTlianobis darRveviT, arasaxarbielo ekonomikuri mdgomareobiT da damTavrebuli arastabiluri politikuri garemoTi, ramac Cveni qveyana mravalmxriv daazarala
politikuri bataliebi, umTavresad, arCevnebs ukavSirdeboda. samwuxarod, rogorc eqspertebi acxadeben, vercerTma mmarTvelma gundma ver uzrunvelyo stabiluri politikuri garemo, ZiriTadad, dakavebulni iyvnen politikuri mowinaaRmdegis gaSavebiT da Zalauflebis ganmtkicebiT, Tumca arc opozicia iyo mTlad konstruqciuli, ramac gauadvila ruseTs saqarTvelos sawinaaRmdego nabijebi, rom aRaraferi vTqvaT afxazeTis da cxinvalis regionis okupaciaze. dasavleTisTvis mniSvnelovania, rom adgilobrivma arCevnebma kiTxvis niSnebi ar datovos, raTa saqarTveloSi politikurma krizisma kvlav ar ifeTqos. rogorc cnobilia, opozicia (`leiboristuli partiis~ garda) parlamentSi Sevida da garkveulwilad qveyanaSi politikuri krizisi ganimuxta, rac swored dasavleTis Zalisxmevis Sedegia, qarTuli sazogadoeba erT sakiTxSi unda SeTanxmdes – evropa da, zogadad, dasavleTi saqarTvelosadmi keTiladaa ganwyobili. amis Tqmis safuZvels iZleva Tundac is, rom dasavleTma Cvens qveyanas ara mxolod politikuri mxardaWera gamoucxada evrokavSirsa da natoSi gasaerTianeblad, aramed ekonomikuri daxmarebac gauwia. am mxriv evroparlamentarebis gzavnilebi swored saqarTvelos demokratiulobis ganmtkicebisTvisaa gamiznuli, yovel SemTxvevaSi, aseT mosazrebas aviTareben am gzavnilebis adresatebi da imedovneben, rom adgilobrivi arCevnebi civilurad da demokratiuli standartebiT Catardeba.
udavoa, rom oqtombris arCevnebi mravalmxriv mniSvnelovani iqneba ramdenime sakiTxis gaTvaliswinebiT: 1. orpolusiani Tu mravalpolusiani arCevnebi iqneba? 2. mosaxleoba ramdenad iaqtiurebs arCevnebze? 3. gamoCndeba Tu ara realurad mesame politikuri Zala da, jamSi, SeZlebs Tu ara xelisufleba 43 procentis aRebas arCevnebSi? jerjerobiT saarCevno maraTonSi partiebi aqtiurad ar arian CarTulni, Tumca ukve SeiniSneba urTierTbraldebebi ara mxolod xelisuflebasa da opozicias, aramed Tavad opoziciur speqtrs SigniT, rac qarTuli politikisTvis damaxasiaTebelia. yofili Tanagundelebi da mokavSireebi erTaneTs ar indoben. magaliTad, irakli kobaxiZe giorgi gaxarias akritikebs da mas saakaSvilTan aliansSi adanaSaulebs, naTelaSvili saparlamento opozicias uprincipoebad naTlavs da parlamentis datovebisken mouwodebs . . . da es mxolod dasawyisia. cxadia, braldebebi arCevnebis moaxloebasTan erTad moimatebs, am mxriv `lelo saqarTvelosTvis~ liderma mamuka xazaraZem ar gamoricxa parlamentis boikotireba. mizezad xelisuflebis mier sasamarTloebSi uvadod mosamarTleebis daniSvna daasaxela, xolo gaerTianebuli opoziciis erT-erTma liderma kaxa oqriaSvilma pirdapir ganacxada, rom `Tu saparlamento opozicia gadawyvets boikots da romelime opozicioneri parlamentSi darCeba, is fsevdoopozicia iqneba~. rogorc Cans, garkveulwilad, opoziciis nawils xels ar aZlevs riggareSe arCevnebi, SesaZloa maT fiasko ganicadon arCevnebSi da dakargon saparlamento tribuna, anu gavlenebi da finansebi. am mxriv sayuradRebo iyo amaswinandeli sociologiuri gamokiTxvebi sxvadasxva sakiTxTan mimarTebiT. CvenTvis mniSvnelovani iyo partiebis reitingebi. magaliTad, `ipsosisma~ ramdenime dRis win partiebis kvleva Caatara, romlis mixedviTac mmarTvel partias 32 procenti uWers mxars, `nacmoZraobas~ – 23, gaxarias partias (`saqarTvelosTvis~) – 8. sxva partiebis maCvenebeli umniSvneloa. yvelaze damafiqrebelia, rom mosaxleobis 30 procenti arcerT partias ar endoba.
eqspertebi acxadeben, rom aRniSnuli kvlevebis Sedegebidan gamomdinare, ramdenime daskvna SeiZleba gakeTdes (Tu, ra Tqma unda, es realobis amsaxveli kvlevebia), Tumca pirvel rigSi, upriani iqneba, daskvna xelisuflebam gaakeTos, radgan Tu es Sedegebi realobas asaxavs, xelisuflebas meti dafiqreba marTebs imaze, Tu ra iwvevs sazogadoebaSi aseT sust mxardaWeras xelisuflebisadmi. Tumca mmarTveli partia da aseve opoziciis nawili eWvis TvaliT uyurebs am organizacias da mis mier Catarebuli kvlevis Sedegebs.
miuxedavad xelisuflebis undoblobisa zemoaRniSnuli kvlevis mimarT, eqspertebi mmarTvel gunds vardisferi saTvaleebis moxsnas urCeven, radgan mosaxleoba gulgatexilia, zogadad, politikuri partiebis mimarT, rom aRaraferi vTqvaT xelisuflebaze, mizezi mravalia . . .
mmarTvelma gundma pirvel rigSi, unda gaarkvios, legitimaciis ra xarisxs flobs mocemuli momentisTvis moqalaqeebis mxridan. arCevnebSi amomrCevelTa umravlesobisgan xmis miReba ar niSnavs sakuTari moqalaqeebis upirobo mxardaWeras. xelisuflebam unda Seiswavlos, gaarkvios, ra iwvevs mosaxleobaSi xelisuflebisadmi undoblobas. albaT, amaze meti unda ifiqros. rac Seexeba opozicias, samwuxaro realobaa, rom ar gvyavs klasikuri tipis opozicia, romelic siRrmiseul, dasabuTebul oponirebas gauwevs xelisuflebas. isini mxolod sadRegrZelos doneze akeTeben ganacxadebebs. amitomac xSirad saubroben mesame Zalis Seqmnis aucileblobaze. am mimarTebiT pretenzias gaxarias partia (`saqarTvelosTvis~), `strategia aRmaSenebli~ da `lelo saqarTvelosTvis~ acxadeben. A`aqamde, mesame politikuri Zala CvenTan yovelTvis iqmneboda mmarTveli partiis birTvSi an yofili mmarTveli Zalis wevrebisgan yalibdeboda. es, erTi mxriv, politikuri reJimis cvlilebas iwvevs, xolo meore mxriv, xels uwyobs tradiciuli saxeebis SenarCunebas politikaSi, rac ganapirobebs qveynis amJamindel realobas – Camouyalibebel samoqalaqo sazogadoebas, indiferentul moqalaqeebs da sust saxelmwifos. swored amis Sesaxeb saubrobs politologi gela iremaZe: `unda vaRiaroT, rom saqarTveloSi arcerT partias ar gaaCnia detalurad, xalxis enaze, gasagebad dawerili arc partiis programa, arc saarCevno programa, arc samoqmedo gegma da arc samoqmedo taqtika. es aris umTavresi xarvezi, romelic gamosasworebelia~.
jerjerobiT politikuri garemo qveyanaSi TiTqos stabiluria, Tumca cxadia, rom droTa ganmavlobaSi temperatura aiwevs. mizezi mniSvnelovania – Tu opozicia xmaTa sasurvel raodenobas miiRebs, qveyanaSi riggareSe saparlamento arCevnebi Catardeba, amitom moaxloebul adgilobriv arCevnebs, marTlac, istoriuli mniSvneloba eniWeba, isic gairkveva, es arCevnebi visTvis gaxdeba sabediswero.
