დათმობაზე წასვლა არ ნიშნავს სისუსტეს, რაც ხელისუფლებამაც და ოპოზიციამაც უნდა გაითავისონ
ლაშა ხომერიკი 593 50 82 69 –
ruseTis farTomasStabiani agresia ukrainis mimarT, Sua aziasa da samxreT kavkasiaSi CineTisa da TurqeTis gavlenis ganvrcoba da evropis mxridan ruseTze sanqciebis gagrZeleba – 2023 wels msoflio Tanamegobroba swored am sakiTxebze iqneba koncentrirebuli. dromoWmulsa da progresuls Soris am epoqalur brZolaSi realurad gamovlindeba dasavleTisa da ruseTis SesaZleblobebi – an putini aRadgens axal imperias, anda koleqtiuri dasavleTi SeZlebs oficialuri moskovis ambiciebis moTokvas da mis civilur relsebze gadayvanas
24 Tebervlis Semdeg msoflio Seicvala. praqtikulad, evraziis kontinentze ruseTsa da dasavleTs Soris mesame msoflio omi mimdinareobs, amitom, zogi saxelmwifo mokavSiris gaCenas aSS-is da CineTis saxiT cdilobs. Suaaziur qveynebTan aqtiurad TanamSromlobs CineTi da TurqeTi, moldova rumineTis mxardaWeriT Sordeba ruseTs, ukraina TavganwirviT ebrZvis ruseTis federacias, azerbaijans TurqeTi mfarvelobs, somxeTi arCevanis zRvarzea dasavleTsa da ruseTs Soris, Cvens qveyanas ki dasavluri kursi aqvs aRebuli da elodeba evrokavSiris wevrobis kandidatis statusis miRebas. cxadia, 2023 weli saqarTvelosTvisac mravalmxriv mniSvnelovani iqneba rogorc saSinao, ise sagareo politikis TvalsazrisiT, gairkveva ara mxolod xelisuflebisa da opoziciis urTierToba sxvadasxva sakiTxTan mimarTebiT, aramed iseTi sakiTxebi, rogorebicaa saqarTvelosTvis kandidatis statusis miniWeba, natosTan daaxloeba, aSS-sTan strategiuli mokavSiris xelSekrulebis gaformeba da ruseTis gegmebi saqarTvelosTan mimarTebiT. is, Tu rogor gadawyvets qveynis xelisufleba am sakiTxebs, mniSvnelovnad gansazRvravs saqarTvelos daaxloebas dasavleTTan, mis gaerTianebas natosa da evrokavSirSi. Cven, ZiriTadad, qveynis Sida politikasa da gamowvevebze visaubrebT.
Sida politikuri garemos stabiluroba rom ganapirobebs qveynis ganviTarebas, araxali ambavia. arastabiluroba da miT ufro samoqalaqo omi saxelmwifos ara marto saxelmwifoebrivi TvalsazrisiT azaralebs, aramed suverenitetsac uzRudavs, amis magaliTi saqarTvelo da tajikeTia, okupirebuli teritoriebi da ekonomikuri kolafsi swored am qveynebis Tanmdevi problemebia, qarTulma politikurma speqtrma am mxriv saTanado daskvnebi unda gaakeTos. samwuxarod, mmarTveli partia da opozicia ver Tanxmdebian sxvadasxva sakiTxze. ZiriTadi SeuTanxmebloba evrokavSiris 12-punqtian rekomendaciebsa da mesame prezidentis Temas ukavSirdeba. opozicia, saWiroebis SemTxvevaSi, arc erovnul daumorCileblobas gamoricxavs xelisuflebis mimarT. garda amisa, politikur speqtrSi aSkarad SeimCneva urTierTsiZulvili, aRarafers vambob Seuracxmyofel gamonaTqvamebze, opozicia mmarTvel partias prorusul Zalad moixseniebs, xelisufleba Tavis mxriv opoziciis liderebis did nawils qveynis mtrad miiCnevs da ase grZeldeba wlidan-wlamde, es maSin, roca ukraina TavganwirviT ibrZvis TviTgadarCenisTvis, umklavdeba ruseTis armias da aTavisuflebs okupirebul teritoriebs. ukrainaSi damarcxebis fonze kremli Seecdeba saqarTveloSi politikuri situacia daZabos, raTa qveyana Tavisi upirobo gavlenis qveS moaqcios. am mimarTebiT dasavleTi didi yuradRebiT akvirdeba saqarTveloSi mimdinare movlenebs, Cveni qveyana kavkasiaSi natos dasayrdenia, amitomac aris Cveni sakiTxi aseTi aqtualuri. dasavleli partniorebisTvis saqarTvelo regionSi prioritetulia, amitom maTi rCevebi da drodadro kritika swored saqarTvelos keTildReobazea gaTvlili.
Seesabameba Tu ara Cveni demokratiuli xarisxi dasavlurs? am kiTxvaze, cxadia, opoziciisa da mmarTveli partiis mxridan gansxvavebuli pasuxebia. opoziciis TqmiT, qveyanaSi demokratiis xarisxi ecema, mmarTveli gundis azriT ki saqarTvelo regionSi am mxriv mowinavea. rasakvirvelia, demokratiis xarisxis zusti sazomi ar arsebobs, is TiToeuli qveynisTvis individualuria. Tu daveyrdnobiT Cveni dasavleli megobrebis azrs, qveynis demokratiulobis indeqsi garkveulad, dadebiT Sefasebas imsaxurebs, Tumca qveyanaSi aris sferoebi, sadac rCeba kiTxvis niSnebi. eqspertTa TqmiT, es sferoebia sasamarTlo xelisufleba, gaumWvirvaloba TviTmmarTvelobebSi, ceskos dakompleqtebis wesi. eqspertebi acxadeben, rom mmarTvelma partiam unda SeZlos opoziciasTan saqmiani damokidebulebis Seqmna. raRac sakiTxSi daTmobaze wasvla, ar niSnavs sisustes, aucilebelia, Tundac ceskos evropuli standartebiT dakompleqteba, qveynis usafrTxoebis ganmtkiceba da a.S. am sakiTxebis mogvareba SeiZleba, acxadeben eqspertebi. ai, riggareSe arCevnebis da saakaSvilis sakiTxebze mxareebi konsensuss albaT, ver miaRweven, premier-ministrma RaribaSvilma xazgasmiT aRniSna, rom momavali arCevnebi 2024 wels gaimarTeba da am xnis ganmavlobaSi qveyanaSi mniSvnelovani megaproeqtebi (anaklia, axali hesebi. . .) ganxorcieldeba, rac Seexeba mesame prezidents, mmarTveli partiis wevrebis TqmiT, is pasuxismgebelia qveynis winaSe da kanonze maRla aravin dgas.
Tavis mxriv, eqspertTa nawili (xuxaSvili, lagaziZe) acxadebs, Tu saakaSvilis sakiTxs xelisufleba saxelmwifoebrivad miudgeba, anu samkurnalod gauSvebs ucxoeTSi, amiT reitingsac aimaRlebs da dasavleTis keTilganwyobasac. ra da rogor iqneba, amas dro dagvanaxebs, imis Tqma ki danamdvilebiT SeiZleba, rom Tu 2023 wels qveyanaSi stabiluri politikuri garemo iqneba da Tanac mniSvnelovani sakiTxebi (ceskos dakompleqteba, sasamarTlo xelisuflebis Tavisufleba, 12 punqtis Sesruleba) opoziciisa da mmarTveli partiis urTierTSeTanxmebiT gadawydeba, maSin dasavleTi ufro SeZlebs Cvens daxmarebas da amave dros, ruseTsac gauWirdeba saqarTvelos saSinao saqmeebSi Careva.
cxadia, okupirebuli teritoriebi, mcocavi okupacia, arastabiluri politikuri garemo da arasaxarbielo ekonomikuri mdgomareoba qveynis mTavari gamowvevebia. am mxriv zeaqtualuria evrokavSiris wevrobis kandidatis statusis miReba, es garkveulwilad, gadawyvets 2024 wlis arCevnebis xarisxs. swored amaze saubrobs analitikosi giorgi gobroniZe: `kandidatis statusis miniWebisTvis saqarTvelom unda Seasrulos is 12 rekomendacia, rac miTiTebulia saqarTvelos evrokavSirSi gawevrianebis ganacxadis Sesaxeb evrokomisiis daskvnaSi… es aris procesi, rodesac saqarTvelo Tavisi mosaxleobiT, politikuri elitiT, ekonomikiTa da socialuri garemoTi unda dauaxlovdes da gauTanabrdes evropul standartebs… am procesis gauazrebloba saqarTvelos ufro daazaralebs, vidre evrokavSirs~. analogiuri Sexedulebisaa,A parlamentari giorgi vaSaZe: `mmarTveli partia normaluri arCevnebis Catarebis Sanss ar iZleva, amis magaliTi `gorbis~ Sedegebia. imdenad ararealuri cifrebi daweres, cxadia, xelisufleba momavali arCevnebis gayalbebisTvis emzadeba~. sapirispiro Sexedulebisaa irakli kobaxiZe. misi TqmiT, opozicias arCevnebSi aranairi Sansi ar aqvs da cdiloben xelisuflebis daSantaJebas. `opozicia dayofili da uunaroa, rasac Cveni mosaxleoba kargad amCnevs~, – askvnis mmarTveli partiis lideri.
sxvaTa Soris, opozicia rom dambladacemulia, mTavar opoziciur ZalaSi warmoqmnili problemebic adasturebs, ris Sesaxebac eqspertebi daufaravad saubroben. `is, rom `nacmoZraobaSi~ gavlenis jgufebi arsebobs, axali ar aris, ubralod, es ufro sajaro gaxda. . . yvelam icis, rom xabeiSvilis ukan kezeraSvilisa da merabiSvilis jgufebi dgas, melias ki Tavisi jgufi hyavs, romelic Sedgeba ufro racionalurad moazrovne pirebisgan. . . imis Tqma SeiZleba, rom Cvens politikur elitas dakarguli aqvs saxelmwifoebrivad mniSvnelovani Temebisadmi mgrZnobeloba~, – aRniSnavs politologi vaxtang ZabiraZe.
marTlac asea, swored antisaxelmwifoebrivi qmedebebis Sedegi iyo 1992-93 wlebis movlenebi, roca mTeli postsabWoeTis qveynebi zeimobdnen komunisturi imperiis ngrevas, Cven samoqalaqo omi gavaCaReT. aseve, 1998 wels, rodesac SesaZleblobaTa fanjara gaixsna da baltiispireTis respublikebi gaerTiandnen natoSi, saqarTvelo, samwuxarod, rusul orbitaze tivtivebda. axlac, ruseT-ukrainis omis Sedegad, dasavluri fanjara kvlav gaixsna evroatlantikur struqturebSi integraciis TvalsazrisiT, savaraudod, Cvenma qveyanam unda miiRos kandidatis statusi, Tu rame eqstraordinaruli ar moxda. . .
jerjerobiT saqarTveloSi stabiluri politikuri garemoa. es SeiZleba imiTac aixsnas, rom qarTveli politikosebi ianvarSi ar aqtiuroben, Tumca arc manamde iyo opozicia gansakuTrebiT aqtiuri. bolo xuTi Tvea, opoziciuri speqtri dambladacemulia, yovel SemTxvevaSi, amaze metyvelebs maTi qmedebebi. eqspertebi acxadeben, rom opozicia daSorda xalxs, zogi parlamentis datovebas moiTxovs, zogi sakanonmdeblo organoSi moRvaweobas miiCnevs prioritetad. . . mokled, opozicia araTanmimdevrulia. miuxedavad imisa, rom mmarTveli partiis yofilma wevrebma Camoayalibes partia `xalxis Zala~, xelisufleba monoliTuria. es mniSvnelovani faqtoria Zalauflebis SesanarCuneblad, Tumca `avi enebi~ amboben, rom partiaSi ori – RaribaSvilisa da kobaxiZis dajgufebebi farulad ebrZvian erTmaneTs. Tu opozicia saprotesto muxts ver gaaRvivebs mosaxleobaSi da ar Seiqmneba mZlavri prodasavluri bloki, xelisuflebis damarcxeba SeuZlebeli iqneba. saparlamento arCevnebamde ori weli darCa da Znelia prognozi, Tumca garkveuli daskvnis gakeTeba SeiZleba. jer erTi, mniSvnelovania, ra kondiciaSi iqneba mmarTveli partiisa da opoziciis reitingebi, rogori iqneba qveynis ekonomikuri mdgomareoba da, rac mTavaria, saqarTvelos mieniWeba Tu ara evrokavSiris kandidatis statusi? swored zemoaRniSnuli faqtorebi gadawyvets arCevnebSi opoziciisa da mmarTveli partiis beds.
rogorc vTqviT, 2023 weli mravalmxriv mniSvnelovania saqarTvelosTvis da cxadia, mozaika didwilad damokidebuli iqneba imaze, Tu xelisufleba ramdenad sazogadoebis keTildReobaze orientirebul gadawyvetilebebs miiRebs, amazea damokidebuli sazogadoebisa da dasavleTis reaqciac. am mxriv aRsaniSnavia, rom gza evrokavSirisken warmatebuli qveynis xvedria da Tu am gziT vivliT, maSin, cxadia, progresuli msoflios mxardaWera da Tanadgoma ar mogvakldeba, magram Tu maT eWvi SeeparaT Cvens demokratiulobaSi, dasavleTisgan izolireba ar agvcdeba.
