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msoflios sxvadasxva regionSi politikuri da ekonomikuri movlenebi dramatulad viTardeba: ruseT-ukrainis omma weliwadze metia, msoflio SeZra, axlaxan kanadaSi stiqiurma ubedurebamac mTeli planeta aaforiaqa. mSvidad arc aSS-Si saprezidento kandidatebis dasaxeleba da evropis rig qveynebSi adgilobrivi arCevnebi mimdinareobs. sagrZnobia axlo aRmosavleTsa da aziaSi CineTis gavlenis zrda
cxadia, am movlenebis eqo Cvenamdec aRwevs. kiTxvebs badebs ukrainasTan urTierToba da ukrainis prezidentis moTxovna, saqarTvelos elCisadmi qveynis datovebis moTxovnis Sesaxeb. es axali gamowvevebi gaazrebul politikas moiTxovs. is, rom partiebi, faqtobrivad, Caebnen saarCevno maraTonSi, TvalnaTelia. gadaadgilebebia politikur speqtrSi. amasTan, mniSvnelovania, rom saqarTvelo dekemberSi evrokavSiris wevrobis kandidatis statusis miRebis molodinSia. dasavleTis politikuri elita didi yuradRebiT adevnebs Tvals saqarTveloSi mimdinare procesebs. dasavleTisTvis mniSvnelovania, rom saqarTvelom evropul kurss ar gadauxvios, gaataros reformebi, aRmofxvras polarizacia, Seasrulos 12 rekomendacia. saqarTvelos premier-ministrma irakli RaribaSvilma briuselSi vizitisas ganacxada, rom `xelisufleba yvelafers gaakeTebs qarTvelebis mravali Taobis ocnebis aRsasruleblad – evrokavSirSi gasawevrianeblad~. am mimarTebiT nabijebi gadadgmulia, dasavleTma dadebiTad Seafasa prezident zurabiSvilis gadawyvetileba gvaramias SewyalebasTan dakavSirebiT, Tumca SeSfoTeba gamoTqva saakaSvilis janmrTelobis mdgomareobis Sesaxeb. ukrainis, moldovis prezidentebma mouwodes oficialur Tbiliss, gauSvas saakaSvili ucxoeTSi samkurnalod. msgavsi mowodebebi gaakeTes evroparlamentis wevrebmac. Tavis mxriv dasavleTis amgvar Sefasebas ar eTanxmeba saqarTvelos xelisufleba: `saqarTvelos sagareo saqmeTa saministro gamoxatavs Rrma SeSfoTebas ukrainis xelisuflebis gadawyvetilebis gamo – daatovebinos saqarTvelos elCs qveynis teritoria konsultaciis mizniT… samwuxaroa, rom oficialuri kievi mimarTavs am nabijs megobari saxelmwifos da xalxis mimarT… msjavrdebuli mixeil saakaSvilis janmrTelobis irgvliv spekulaciebs wertili dausva strasburgis sasamarTlos gadawyvetilebam, romliTac kidev erTxel dadasturda saxelmwifos mxridan mixeil saakaSvilis uflebebis dacvis umaRlesi standartebi~, – naTqvamia gancxadebaSi. aseve, irakli kobaxiZe acxadebs: `guSin rac vnaxeT, es iyo rezeqciis, kuWis operaciis reklama~. eqspertebi Tvlian, rom saqarTvelos prezidentma salome zurabiSvilma depolarizaciis aRmofxvrisken qmediTi nabiji gadadga, Tumca ramdenad mosalodnelia qveyanaSi depolarizaciis aRmofxvra, es kidev sakiTxavia. rogorc gacxadda, nika gvaramia aRar uxelmZRvanelebs `mTavar arxs~, analitikosebi ar gamoricxaven politikaSi mis mosvlas. savaraudod, is an `nacmoZraobis~ erT-erTi lideri gaxdeba an axal partias Seqmnis. xatia dekanoiZe gvaramias adgils `nacmoZraobaSi~ ver xedavs. ukve saubroben mesame centris Seqmnis aucileblobaze. am mimarTebiT sayuradReboa amaswinandeli sociologiuri gamokiTxvebi. magaliTad, `edison riCersma~ morigi kvlevis Sedegebi gamoaqveyna: mmarTvel gunds eleqtoratis 37 procenti uWers mxars; `nacmoZraobas~ – 25, gaxarias partias `saqarTvelosTvis~ da `lelos~ – 6-6, `leiboristebis~ mxardaWera xuTi procentis farglebSi meryeobs. sxva partiebis maCvenebeli umniSvneloa. Tu es gamokiTxva, garkveulwilad, gamarTlda, saboloo jamSi opozicia gaimarjvebs da SeeZleba koaliciuri mTavrobis Camoyalibeba, magram ismis kiTxva: ramdenad SeZlebs opozicia gaerTianebas? `lelom~ ganacxada, rom ar apirebs `nacmoZraobasTan~ gaerTianebas, arada am partiis gareSe opoziciuri partiebi ver SeZleben koaliciuri mTavrobis Camoyalibebas. es udavoa. dRes zogma partiam, maT Soris `lelom~ daiwyes saubari damoukidebel mesame centrze. `nacmoZraobaze~, ise rogorc mmarTvel gundze, xeli unda CaviqnioT. fiqri unda daviwyoT imaze, Tu rogori iqneba `qarTuli ocnebis~ Semdeg qveyana, – acxadebs parlamentari iago xviCia.
eqspertTa azriT, arCevnebi kvlav orpolusiani iqneba, zogis SefasebiT ki mravalpolusiani. 2024 wlis arCevnebis Sedegs mravali faqtori ganapirobebs, pirvel yovlisa, arCevnebis Sedegze aisaxeba is, mieniWeba Tu ara saqarTvelos kandidatis statusi, aseve, rogori iqneba saarCevno barieri. aris sxva Sida da gare faqtorebi… rogorc aRvniSneT, kandidatis statusis miniWebas xelisufleba saTavisod gamoiyenebs, aseve Tu saarCevno barieri 5 procenti iqneba, maSin, savaraudod, mmarTveli partiis garda mxolod `nacmoZraoba~ da gaxarias partia gadalaxavs saarCevno bariers, amitom eqspertebi opozicias urCeven mesame centris Seqmnas, raTa konkurencia gauwion mmarTvel gunds da `nacmoZraobas~. saqarTveloSi Catarebul arCevnebs Tu Tvals gadavavlebT, arCevnebi yovelTvis orpolusiani iyo. Tu ra SedegebiT dasruldeba momavali arCevnebi, dro dagvanaxebs. erTi ram cxadia, 2024 wlis saparlamento arCevnebi istoriuli mniSvnelobis iqneba imitom, rom arCevnebi mxolod proporciuli sistemiT Catardeba, aq aseve ikveTeba erTi Zalian sayuradRebo sakiTxi: Tu mmarTveli partiis da `nacmoZraobis~ garda saarCevno bariers sxva partiebi ver gadalaxaven, maTi Sedegebi am or partiaze gadanawildeba, rac arCevnebs kidev ufro damaintrigebels xdis.
rac Seexeba mesame politikuri Zalis Camoyalibebas. eqspertTa TqmiT, aseTi Zala yovelTvis iqmneba mmarTveli partiis birTvSi, an yofili mmarTveli gundis wevrebisgan kompleqtdeba. es erTi mxriv politikuri reJimis cvlilebas iwvevs, xolo meore mxriv xels uwyobs tradiciuli saxeebis SenarCunebas politikaSi. eqspertebi acxadeben, rom suraTi am mimarTebiT arasaxarbieloa, rasac Tavisi subieqturi Tu obieqturi mizezebi gaaCnia. yvelaze didi safrTxe Cveni qveynisTvis arastabiluri politikuri garemoa, ramac warsulSi saqarTvelos araerTi ubedureba moutana, swored amitom mogviwodebs dasavleTi qmediTi nabijebis gadadgmas 12-punqtiani rekomendaciebis Sesasruleblad. gza evropisken da natosken warmatebuli qveynebis xvedria da Tu am gziT vivliT, arc progresul qveyanaTa mxardaWera da Tanadgoma mogvakldeba, rac, upirvelesad, xelisuflebam unda gaiTvaliswinos. es sakiTxi TiToeul moqalaqes aRelvebs, radgan maT dadebiTad gadawyvetaze didadaa damokidebuli saqarTvelos usafrTxoeba da keTildReoba.

