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mesame msoflio omi – swored ase afaseben analitikosebi ruseT-ukrainis oms da es gadaWarbebuli sityvebi ar aris – asiaTasobiT daRupuli, milionobiT ltolvili, rom aRaraferi vTqvaT ganadgurebul qalaqebsa da soflebze, da es xdeba 21-e saukuneSi. msoflio Tvals adevnebs am omis ZiriTadi monawileebis (dasavleTi-ruseTi) irib dapirispirebas. cxadia, maTi interesebi mkveTri gadaikveTa, aSkaraa, rom dRes ukrainaSi, garkveulwilad, wydeba msoflios momavali, CvenTvis ki mniSvnelovania, vin gaimarjvebs am dapirispirebaSi. . .
ruseT-ukrainis omi weliwad-naxevaria mimdinareobs da ukve garkveuli daskvnis gakeTeba SeiZleba: ukrainam SeZlo ara mxolod gamklaveboda ruseTis armias, aramed kontrSetevazec gadavida, gaaTavisufla mniSvnelovani soflebi, aseve, ruseTis teritoriazec awarmoebs samxedro operaciebs, daibomba frontis xazidan 300-500 kilometriT daSorebuli samxedro TviTmfrinavebis aerodromebi, armiis da samxedro teqnikis bazebi, samxedro masalebis sawyobebi, raSic mniSvnelovani wvlili dasavleTma Seitana SeiaraRebisa da sadazvervo informaciis miwodebis TvalsazrisiT. samwuxarod, es omi SeiZleba wlobiTac gaiwelos, rac sabolood ruseTisTvis iqneba savalalo, yovel SemTxvevaSi, ase amboben analitikosebi.
TavidaTavi is gaxlavT, rom ukrainaSi civilizaciuri omi mimdinareobs ruseTsa da dasavleTs, demokratiasa da diqtaturas, sinaTlesa da sibneles Soris, ra Tqma unda, sinaTles ukraina ganasaxierebs, sibneles ki ruseTi. pirdapir unda vTqvaT, ruseTi ar eloda ukrainis mxridan aseT Rirseul, saerToerovnul da mamac winaaRmdegobas da, aseve, aseT sayovelTao Tanadgomas msoflios wamyvani qveynebisgan, romlebmac uari Tqves ekonomikur sikeTeebze da umkacresi sanqciebi dauweses ruseTs. rogorc Cans, kremls egona, Tu gauvida 2008 wels – saqarTveloSi, xolo 2014 wels yirimSi SeWra da teritoriebis mitaceba, 2022 welsac gauvidoda ukrainaSi, magram amjerad dasavleTi mowodebis simaRleze aRmoCnda – ukrainas yovelmxriv exmareba. am mxriv ismis kiTxva – ra aris ruseTisTvis sasurveli maqsimumi da minimumi am omSi? eqspertTa TqmiT, ruseTi cdilobs, ukrainas waarTvas rogorc aRmosavleTi, ise zRvispira regionebi da igi metwilad mowyvitos Sav zRvasac. es samxedro moqmedebebi omis meore da mesame fazasac daetyo. samxreTSi rusebis maqsimumi iyo, odesis regionis gavliT, dnestrispireTidan daemyarebina saxmeleTo gza, anu ukrainas kontinentze Caketil saxelmwifod gadaaqcevda, rac ukrainis saxelmwifoebriobis dasasruli iqneboda. dasavleTis mxardaWeriT da ukrainuli armiis brZolisunarianobiT kremlis es ganzraxva Seusrulebeli darCa, Tumca ruseTi jerjerobiT oms agrZelebs, klavs udanaSaulo adamianebs, sCadis sakacobrio danaSauls, amitomac haagis sasamarTlom putinis mimarT mkacri verdiqti gamoitana – daadanaSaula samxedro danaSaulSi. . . xSirad vismenT, rom sanqciebi ar aris sakmarisi ruseTis SesaCereblad, Tumca isic cxadia, rom es ar aris erTaderTi gza, Tundac iaraRi ruseTis SesaCereblad. qronologias Tu mivuyvebiT, davinaxavT, rom pirveli nabiji, rac dasavleTma omis dawyebis Semdeg gadadga, ekonomikuri sanqciebi iyo, faqtobrivad, omis dawyebidan yovel axal dRes aSS-is prezidenti sanqciebs afarToebs da wertilovan dartymebs ayenebs ruseTis ekonomikas. garda amisa, vxedavT samxedro (sabrZolo iaraRis) daxmarebis precedentebsac. analitikosTa TqmiT, dasavleTs gadawyvetili aqvs, ukrainas strategiuli upiratesoba moapovebinos frontis xazze `rusuli armiis elituri danayofebi da yvelaze karg mdgomareobaSi myofi teqnika kievis, xarkovis da mariupolisTvis brZolaSi ganadgurda, Tumca ruseTs kvlav didi resursi aqvs, rom omi awarmoos~, – acxadebs analitikosi giorgi koberiZe.
rogorc aRvniSneT, mniSvnelovnad exmareba ukrainas dasavleTi. Cven vixileT rogor Secvala frontze situacia `haimarsma~, SeiZleba iTqvas, raketebi, romelTa wvdomac 200 kilometria, fortifikaciebis da qveiTi mowinaaRmdegis frontis garRvevis SesaZlebelobas iZleva, am procesis momswreni varT axla Cven doneckis regionsa da luganskSi. naxevari baxmuti ganTavisuflda mtrisgan, am mimarTebiT dasavleli analitikosebi acxadeben, rom aSS da koleqtiuri dasavleTi omis gaxangrZlivebas cdiloben, raTa ruseTi gamoifitos, anu ar arian dainteresebuli ukrainis swrafi gamarjvebiT. rogorc Cans, dasavleTis amocanaa, ruseTi maqsimalurad gamofitos omSi, rac cxadia, zneobriv CarCoebSi ar jdeba. swored amis Taobaze amaxvilebs yuradRebas ukrainis prezidenti da garkveulwilad dasavleTs sindisze agdebs: `Tamamad unda iTqvas, rom ukraina am omSi dasavlur Rirebulebebs icavs, rom ara Cveni SemarTeba, axla ruseTis jari poloneTs da baltiispireTis qveynebs Seuqmnida problemebs~, – dasZens zelenski. sxvaTa Soris, igi kremlis narativze saubrobs, rom misi agresia ukrainisadmi pronatourma kursma ganapiroba, realurad ki ruseTi saxelmwifoebis Tavisufal arCevns ebrZvis, ukraina, moldova da saqarTvelo amis TvalsaCino magaliTebia. amitom postsabWoTa qveynebs Tu surT, Tavi daaRwion rusul gavlenebs, saWiroa demokratiuli reformebis gatareba, adamianis uflebebis dacva, baltiispireTis qveynebis gamocdilebis gaziareba.
Znelia Tqma, rodis aRdgeba ukrainis teritoriuli mTlianoba, rodis dasruldeba omi, radgan bevri ram swrafad icvleba Tanamedrove msoflioSi. Tavis droze verc germaniis gaerTianebas warmoidginda vinme, verc sabWoTa kavSiris daSlas da, miT umetes baltiispireTis qveynebis natoSi gawevrianebas, magram es realobad iqca, ase rom, erTi mxriv, Tu dasavleTi proncipuli iqneba ruseTis mimarT da, meore mxriv, ukraina gaagrZelebs Tavdauzogav brZolas, teritoriuli mTlianobis aRdgenas win veraferi daudgeba.