ვის რა შანსი აქვს არჩევნებში?
laSa xomeriki 593 50 82 69 –
saparlamento arCevnebis muxti qarTul sazogadoebaSi sakmaod maRalia. yvelas ainteresebs, rogor warimarTeba arCevnebi, SeZlebs Tu ara mmarTveli partia meoTxejer mmarTvelobaSi darCenas da ramdenad mosalodnelia koaliciuri mTavrobis Camoyalibeba?
ra Tqma unda, am sakiTxzec azrTa sxvadasxvaobaa. is ki udavoa, evropul gzaze warmatebiT rom gavideT, moqnili politikaa saWiro.
saqarTveloSi bolo wlebSi Catarebul arCevnebs rom istoriuli mniSvneloba aqvs, araxalia. swored arCevnebis Semdeg axali mmarTveli partia ayalibebs saSinao da sagareo kurss. miuxedavad imisa, rom damoukideblobis mopovebis Semdeg qveyanas meoTxe mmarTveli partia (`mrgvali magida~, `moqkavSiri~, `nacmoZraoba~ da `qarTuli ocneba~) marTavs, Cveni sagareo kursi ar Secvlila, rac amtkicebs, rom saqarTvelos mizani natosa da evrokavSirSi gawevrianebaa. moaxloebuli arCevnebi ufro imis maCvenebeli iqneba, ramdenad CamovyalibdiT rogorc samoqalaqo sazogadoeba da rogor gvaqvs gacnobierebuli Cveni roli qveynis aRmSeneblobaSi, aseve, saqarTvelos adgili geopolitikur mocemulobaSi. am mxriv kvlav Cndeba kiTxvebi – SeZlebs Tu ara mmarTveli partia damajerebel gamarjvebas arCevnebSi, ra stadiaSia opoziciuri speqtri da ramdenad mosalodnelia koaliciuri mTavrobis Seqmna? arCevnebis molodinSi politikuri partiebi ufro da ufro aqtiurdebian, imarTeba Sexvedrebi. . . am mxriv mmarTvelma gundma yvela ukan Camoitova, opozicia ki, ase vTqvaT, satelevizio opoziciad gadaiqca. . . amas eqspertebic aRniSnaven.
meTormete welia, rac `qarTuli ocneba~ mmarTvelobaSia. zogisTvis (rasakvirvelia, opoziciisTvis) miuRebelia xelisuflebis moRvaweoba. maT eWvi eparebaT, rom amJamindeli mTavrobis pirobebSi SesaZlebelia jerac gadauWreli problemebis (arasaxarbielo ekonomikuri mdgomareoba, polarizebuli politikuri garemo, sasamarTlo sistemis naklovanebebi) mogvareba. bevrs sjera moqmedi xelisuflebis dapirebis da miiCnevs, rom raxan saxelisuflo gundis wevrebma amodena pasuxismgebloba ikisres, valdebulni arian, qveynis socialuri foni ukeTesobisaken Secvalon, es unda SeZlon. winaaRmdeg SemTxvevaSi, mosalodnelia, maTdami negatiurad ganwyobilTa ricxvi gaizardos.
rogoria arsebuli xelisuflebis nabijebi? mmarTveli partiis wevrebi acxadeben, rom maT mniSvnelovan warmatebas miaRwies da es, upirvelesad, samarTlianobis damkvidrebaa qveyanaSi, aseve, Tavisufali media, gazrdili biujeti, dabalansebuli politikis warmoeba mezoblebTan… umTavresi is gaxlavT, rom qveyanam aicila omi ruseTTan… xelisuflebis wevrebi acxadeben, rom qveynis SigniT da gareT sxvadasxva Zala cdilobs, saqarTvelo saomar konfliqtSi CarTon ruseTTan, rac Cveni qveynisTvis savalalo iqneba. am mxriv unda iTqvas, rom dasavleTi, garkveulwilad, welavs oms ukrainaSi. amas dRes TiTqmis yvela obieqturi eqsperti aRiarebs da dasavleTs mouwodebs, ruseTs realuri sanqciebi dauwesos da ara – msubuqi. . . Tumca es sxva Temaa da masze saubari sxva dros gavagrZeloT.
sxvaTa Soris, amJamindeli xelisuflebis momxreebi mas imis gamoc akritikeben, rom ar gaasamarTla `nacionaluri moZraoba~ rogorc damnaSave partia. am sakiTxTan dakavSirebiT eqspertTa nawili miiCnevs, rom xelisuflebas awyobs `nacmoZraobis~ aseT mdgomareobaSi SenarCuneba, raTa Tavisi warumatebloba mis destruqciul qmedebebs gadaabralos, risi qveteqsticaa – Tu mmarTvel partias ar airCevT, yofili reJimi dabrundeba, rac eqspertTa TqmiT, sruli absurdia.
`nacmoZraobis~ reitingi mkveTrad daeca, amitom misi xelisuflebaSi mosvla naklebad mosalodnelia, miT ufro, rom es partia, rogorc cnobilia, ramdenime gavlenianma wevrma datova. . . da mainc, jerjerobiT politikur velze or angariSgasawev Zalas Soris erTi mainc `nacmoZraobaa~. ganvlilma arCevnebmac cxadyo, rom pirvel da meore adgils es partiebi inawileben. ra iqneba amjerad, anu 2024 wlis arCevnebSi? rogorc cnobilia, moaxloebuli saparlamento arCevnebi imiTac sayuradReboa, rom igi mxolod proporciuli wesiT Catardeba, Tumca saarCevno blokebis Seqmna akrZalulia, xolo barieri 5 procentia, rac, garkveulwilad, mmarTveli gundis wisqvilze asxams wyals. 5-procentian bariers, savaraudod, oTxi partia (mmarTveli partia, `nacmoZraoba~, `saqarTvelosTvis~ da `lelo saqarTvelosTvis~) gadalaxavs. am oTxma partiam saerTo jamSi Tu xmebis 80 procenti aiRo, danarCeni 20 procentic im SemTxvevaSi, Tu sxva partiebma ver gadalaxes saarCevno barieri, gamarjvebul partiaze gadanawildeba. ase rom, SesaZlebelia 40 procentiT mxardaWerilma partiam (am SemTxvevaSi `qarTulma ocnebam~) sakonstitucio umravlesoba moipovos parlamentSi. amitomac politikur velze mniSvnelovani gadaadgileba xdeba. magaliTad, `nacmoZraobam~ da `strategia aRmaSenebelma~ axali platforma Seqmnes, aseve, partia `axali~ Camoayalibes yofilma `nacebma~ nika gvaramiam da nika meliam. am gaerTianebas mmarTveli partiis wevrebma mkvdradSobili uwodes. `araviTari axali partia es ar aris. esaa `nacmoZraobis~ danamati, maT araviTari Sansi arCevnebSi ar aqvT. arCevnebSi maT mosaxleoba sakadris pasuxs gascems~, – acxadebs mmarTveli partiis wevri giorgi volski. analogiuri Sexedulebisaa, eqsperti gela iremaZec, misi TqmiT: `partia, `axali~ ZiriTadad, xmebs `nacmoZraobas~ waarTmevs. mosaxleobis gulis mogeba arc ise advilia, amas sWirdeba Tanmimdevruli muSaoba, gasageb enaze dawerili gzavnilebi, regionebis mosaxleobasTan Sexvedrebi da Camoyalibebuli gegma. marto imis Tqma, rom xelisufleba ar varga, arafris momcemia. Tu partia `axali~ swor strategias SearCevs da realurad gaemijneba `nacmoZraobas~, SesaZloa saarCevno barieri gadalaxos~.
am partiis mimarT uaryofiTi damokidebuleba aqvs mixeil saakaSvilsac, romelmac araorazrovnad ganacxada, rom `nacmoZraobis~ klonireba uSedego iqneba maTTvis, vinc amas Seecdeba.
aranakleb mniSvnelovani ambebi xdeba sxva opoziciur flangzec. axali platformis Seqmnis iniciativiT gamovida `lelo saqarTvelosTvis~, romlis mizania mesame Zalis formireba qveyanaSi, raTa mosaxleobam arCevani axal Zalaze gaakeTos.
sxvaTa Soris, Tu Catarebul arCevnebs davakvirdebiT, eleqtoratis daaxloebiT 45 procenti ar monawileobs arCevnebSi. Tu am segmentis darwmunebas SeZlebs opozicia, maSin, cxadia, mravalpartiul parlaments miviRebT, magram am mxriv eqspertebi mniSvnelovan garemoebaze amaxvileben yuradRebas: arcerT politikur Zalas ar gaaCnia detalurad, xalxis enaze, gasagebad dawerili arc saarCevno gegma da arc samoqmedo taqtika. es aris umTavresi xarvezi, romelic gamosasworebelia. am kuTxiT Zalian Sors varT evropuli partiebisgan, rasac emateba ucodinaroba da partiebis urTierTdapirispireba, ramac Cveni qveyana gansakuTrebiT daazarala.
Semodgoma saqarTveloSi yovelTvis politikurad datvirTulia, gamonaklisi arc wlevandeli iqneba. partiebi aqtiuroben, imarTeba Sexvedrebi, opozicia saukeTeso Sedegebisken gzebis ZiebaSia. zogi erTiandeba, zogi ki opoziciisve nawils xelisuflebis danamatad moixseniebs. magaliTad, `leiboristuli partiis~ lideri Salva naTelaSvili acxadebs, rom `nacmoZraoba~ martiv mamravlebad daiSala. gaxarias partia `saqarTvelosTvis~ ki mmarTveli partiis danamatia, mxolod misi partiaa realuri opozicia da SeuZlia qveynis aRorZineba.
Tavis mxriv, am partias mmarTveli gundi komentaris Rirsadac ar Tvlis. didad keTilganwyobili arc opoziciis nawilia `leiboristuli partiis~ mimarT. samagierod, mmarTveli partia erT muWadaa Sekruli da mosaxleobas qveynis ganviTarebis gegmas acnobs. umTavresi gzavnilia `nuli siRaribe da nuli okupacia~. aseve, rogorc iTqva, ganxorcieldeba megaproeqtebi saxelmwifos ganviTarebis TvalsazrisiT. cxadia, SenarCundeba evropuli kursi, yovel SemTxvevaSi, ase amboben xelisuflebis warmomadgenlebi, Tumca opozicia skeptikurad uyurebs mmarTveli partiis am dapirebebs.
gadauWarbeblad SeiZleba iTqvas, rom moaxloebul saparlamento arCevnebze didadaa damokidebuli Cveni qveynis momavali. Tu Cven demokratiis tests sanimuSod CavabarebT, anu arCevnebs evropuli standartebis Sesabamisad CavatarebT, es gagviRebs kars natosa da evrokavSirSi. imedia, saarCevno maraToni da arCevnebi mSvidobian garemoSi samarTlianad Caivlis, partiebi ki saxelmwifoebrivad iazrovneben da imoqmedeben, anu damarcxebuli Seegueba damarcxebas, gamarjvebuli ki gaiTvaliswinebs damarcxebuli partiebis azrs da maTTan konstruqciulad iTanamSromlebs qveynis sakeTildReod. swored amas mogviwodebs dasavleTi. iq, rogorc cnobilia, xelisufleba koaliciuria, yvela partiis, jgufis interesebi gaTvaliswinebulia, anu evrokavSiris qveynebSi xelisufleba patar-patara partiebs ar riyavs saqveyno saqmeebidan, zogierTs ministris portfelsac gadascems, ramac dasavleTi ekonomikuri keTildReobis, samarTlianobis sivrced aqcia. rac ufro metad gaiTaviseben amas Cveni politikosebi, miT ufro ukeTesi iqneba Cveni qveynisTvis.

