გიორგი ცუცქირიძე – ოპოზიცია ლარის კურსითა და რეზერვების თემით მანიპულირებს
ekonomisti giorgi cucqiriZe socialur qselSi wers, rom miuxedavad imisa, saqarTvelos erovnuli bankis mxridan ganxorcielebuli intervenciebis dazustebuli monacemebi mxolod 25 noembers gaxdeba cnobili, kvlav ar wydeba spekulaciebi daxarjuli rezervebis irgvliv.
ekonomistis SefasebiT, seb-i moqmedebda da moqmedebs kanonmdeblobis sruli dacviT. gasul wlebSi iyo SemTxvevebi, rodesac savaluto kursis Warbi ryeva an mkveTri gaufasurebis riski gamowveuli iyo arafundamenturi da araekonomikuri mizezebiT, maT Soris, xelovnuri aJiotaJiT. misive TqmiT, seb-ma swor dros da saWiroebisamebr gamoiyena rezervebi da amiT mosaxleoba laris mkveTri gaufasurebisgan ixsna. sxva SemTxvevaSi, savaluto kursis gaufasureba saxeze gveqneboda.
„miuxedavad imisa, rom seb-is mxridan ganxorcielebuli intervenciebis dazustebuli monacemebi mxolod 25 noembers gaxdeba cnobili, kvlav ar wydeba spekulaciebi daxarjuli rezervebis irgvliv. aqcentebi ki gadatanilia oqtombris TveSi qveynis savaluto rezervebis rekorduli moculobiT, 627 milioni dolariT Semcirebaze. kerZod, erovnuli bankis mier winasaarCevno periodSi ganxorcielebul 4 savaluto intervenciaze – 213 milioni dolaris odenobiT da B
platformiT damatebiTi intervenciebze. Sesabamisad, iqmneba iseTi suraTi, TiTqos saqarTvelos ekonomika seriozuli krizisis winaSe dgas. mimaCnia, rom am saxis informaciis tiraJireba da xelovnuri aJiotaJis Seqmna emsaxureba aSkarad davardnili opoziciuri muxtis gacocxlebas, laris kursiTa da rezervebis TemiT manipulirebiT.
am sakiTxze araerTxel misaubria, seb-i moqmedebda da moqmedebs kanonmdeblobis sruli dacviT. unda aRvniSno isic, rom gasul wlebSi iyo SemTxvevebi, rodesac savaluto kursis Warbi ryeva an mkveTri gaufasurebis riski gamowveuli iyo ra arafundamenturi da araekonomikuri mizezebiT, maT Soris xelovnuri aJiotaJiT, erovnuli banki naklebad ereoda bazarze da kursis dakoreqtirebas da bunebriv mdgomareobaSi dabrunebas sabazro Zalebs andobda. samwuxarod, aseT dros xdeboda fasebis mkveTri zrda da Semdeg kursis SedarebiT dastabilurebis miuxedavad fasebi kvlav maRali rCeboda kidev didi xnis ganmavlobaSi, rac bunebrivia zemoqmedebda inflaciis maCvenebelze da TiToeuli CvenTaganis xarjebze. im periodSi seb-i araerTxel gamikritikebia swored dagvianebuli intervenciebis gamo, radgan erovnuli bankis pirdapiri valdebulebaa fasebis stabilizacia, raTa aseT dros daicvas ekonomika, safinanso seqtori da lari mkveTri gaufasurebisgan. Sesabamisad, erovnul banks laris mkveTri gaufasureba rom daeSva, Tan metad turbulentur winasaarCevno periodSi, swored maSin moxdeboda qveynis dazianeba da saxelmwifosTvis didi dartymis miyeneba.
aqedan gamomdinare, rezervebis xarjvis amosavali wertili aris bazris dacva inflaciuri molodinebisagan da arsad weria Tu ra odenobis rezervi unda iyos gamoyenebuli optimalur sazomad. bunebrivia, rezervebis Semcireba ar unda ganixilebodes mxolod erTi mimarTulebiT da arc misi daclaa sasurveli. Cven vxedavT, rom ukanaskneli erTi wlis ganmavlobaSi saqarTvelos savaluto rezervebis Semcirebis miuxedavad, gasul wels qveyanaSi rezervebis rekorduli maCvenebeli gvqonda. SarSan seb-ma rekordulad – 1.3 mlrd. aSS dolaramde Seavso rezervebi, xolo misma moculobam sarekordo 5.4 miliard aSS dolars gadaaWarba da welsac ganagrZobda dagrovebas, Seavso ra damatebiT 288 milioni aSS dolariT.
ramdenad drouli da gamarTlebuli iyo seb-is strategia amis magaliTad gazrdili ekonomika, jansaRi makroekonomikuri maCveneblebi, dabali inflacia, stabilurad mzardi savaluto Semodinebebi gamodgeba. ekonomika ianvar-oqtombris mixedviT gazrdilia 9.8 %-iT, xolo mesame kvartalSi 11.3 %-iT, inflacia miznobriv 3 %-ian maCvenebels ar gacdenia, rac mTavrobis mxridan gonivruli ekonomikuri politikisa da seb-is swori da drouli gadawyvetilebebis Sedegia.
seb-ma swor dros da saWiroebisamebr gamoiyena rezervebi da amiT mosaxleoba laris mkveTri gaufasurebisgan ixsna. sxva SemTxvevaSi savaluto kursis gaufasureba saxeze gveqneboda. rezervebis daniSnulebac swored esaa, daagrovo da daxarjo saWiro dros da saWiro situaciaSi.
mzardi ekonomikisa da jansaRi makroekonomikuri fundamenturi faqtorebis fonze, problema ar iqneba SedarebiT mokle droSi rezervebis Sevseba.
ase rom, am TemiT zedmetad Sewuxebul saeqsperto sazogadoebas vurCevdi lars da erovnul banks Tavi daanebon, akritikon da rCevebi miscen sadac saWiroa, problemebi sakuTar TavSi moiZion, xolo opoziciasac vurCev arCevnebSi wagebis mizezebi kargad gaaanalizon da TavianT CaZirul gems mixedon~, – wers giorgi cucqiriZe.
