მსოფლიო ახალი მართლწესრიგის მოლოდინში
laSa xomeriki 593 50 82 69 –
`dRes msoflio dgas mijnaze – mimdinareobs axali msoflio marTlwesrigis damyarebis procesi. SeZlebs Tu ara msoflio Tanamegobroba, daZlios mwvave gamowveვეbi da mSvidobiani gziT miaRwios axal wesrigs Tu unda ganmeordes 1940-45 wlebi, roca miviReT msoflios axali wesrigi?~ – am SekiTxvas svamen dasavleli analitikosebi (boris pinkusi, ramiz ianusi), romelTa TqmiT, ruseT-ukrainis omi amis TvalsaCino magaliTia, sadac realurad erTmaneTs dasavleTi da ruseTi daupirispirda da am brZolaSi gamarjvebuli, garkveulwilad, evropis momavals aTwleulSi gadawyvets.
axals arafers vityvi, Tu aRvniSnav, rom saerTaSoriso politikaSi qaosia – ruseTi globalur politikaSi destruqciul rols TamaSobs. Tu davukvirdebiT bolo 17 wlis procesebs, kargad davinaxavT, rom ruseTma SeZlo poziciebis gamyareba postsabWoTa qveynebTan mimarTebiT. saerTaSoriso arenaze Semoitana araRiarebuli teritoriebis cneba, daarRvia saqarTvelos, moldovis da ukrainis teritoriuli mTlianoba. pirdapir unda iTqvas, rom ukrainaSi civilizaciuri omi mimdinareobs ruseTsa da dasavleTs, demokratiasa da diqtaturas, sinaTlesa da sibneles Soris. ra Tqma unda, sinaTles ukraina ganasaxierebs, sibneles ki ruseTi. sagulisxmoa isic, rom kremlis ritorika dasavleTTan mimarTebiTac agresiuli da damcinavia. es dasavleTisTvis ukve seriozuli Tavsatexia. bunebrivia, evrokavSirs da aSS-s sWirdeba axali midgomebis SemuSaveba am qveyanasTan mimarTebaSi, Tundac misi Sekavebis TvalsazrisiT. dasavleTSi am mxriv mcire dabneuloba SeiniSneba. es, garkveulwilad, gamowveulia aSS-Si saprezidento arCevnebis moaxloebiT, saprezidento kandidatebis – trampis da kamila harisis miznebi da xedvebi sagareo kuTxiT msofliosTvis gaurkvevelia. mxolod isaa cnobili, rom ukrainaSi oms daasruleben, magram rogor, amaze garkveviT ar saubroben. sadRegrZeloebis STabeWdilebas ufro tovebs maTi mowodebebi ruseT-ukrainis omTan mimarTebiT. amiT kargad sargeblobs moskovi da realur Sedegs iRebs Tundac ukrainis magaliTze, aseTi dabneulobis Sedegi kargad Cans saqarTveloSi. . . swored amis Sesaxeb saubrobs sajaro mmarTvelobis doqtori giga fartenaZe: `Cveni qveynis teritoriis erTi nawili aSS-is geopolitikur velSia moqceuli, xolo meore okupirebulia ruseTis mier. es mdgomareoba kargad gamoxatavs ruseT-aSS-is konkurencias Cvens qveyanaSi, amitom saqarTvelos bewvis xidze uwevs siaruli. Cvenma qveyanam, cxadia, unda gaagrZelos dasavleTisken svla, ganviTareba~. . . analogiuri Sexedulebisaa politologi gela iremaZe: `putinis mizani kvlav da kvlav igivea, angariSgasawev Zalad iqces dasavleTisa da amerikis SeerTebuli StatebisTvis, rac ar surT am ukanasknelebs. maTi mizania, ruseTi gadaaqcion erT rigiT demokratiul saxelmwifod, romelSic iseTive gavlenebi eqnebaT, rogorc sxvebSi. Sesabamisad, is ewinaaRmdegeba dasavleTs da iRvwis globalur politikaSi mniSvnelovani rolis SesrulebisTvis. omi ukrainis winaaRmdeg amis magaliTia~.
ras akeTebs am problemis aRmosafxvrelad dasavleTi? dids verafers! Tumca amas Tavisi subieqturi da obieqturi mizezebi gaaCnia. dRevandel msoflioSi mimdinare procesebi metyvelebs, rom verc erTi saxelmwifo gadawyvetilebas calmxrivad ver iRebs, yoveli maTgani aucileblad unda iTvaliswinebdes sxva, dainteresebuli qveynis interesebs. ra mdgomareobaa am mxriv? mTavari aqtorebia aSS, evrokavSiri, CineTi da garkveulwilad, ruseTi. am mimarTebiT dasavleTi da ruseTi ukrainaSi upirispirdebian erTmaneTs. samwuxarod, mocemuli momentisTvis dasavleTs uWirs ruseTis Sekaveba, rac naTlad Cans ukrainis SemTxvevaSi. TiTqmis sami welia kremli farTomasStabian oms awarmoebs am qveynis winaaRmdeg. rom ara koleqtiuri dasavleTis Tanadgoma ukrainisadmi, es saxelmwifo ver gauZlebda ruseTTan oms. es mkafiod unda iTqvas, magram isic aRsaniSnavia, rom realurad, dasavleTs ar awyobs ruseTis marcxi am omSi mravali mizezis gamo. swored amis Sesaxeb saubrobs amerikeli analitikosi ramiz ianusi: `pirdapir unda iTqvas, rom es omi kidev didxans gagrZeldeba. dasavleTi araa dainteresebuli ruseTis kapitulaciiT, mizezi – ruseTis daSlis eSiniaT, ar surT misi birTvuli iaraRi sxvadasxva qveynis sakuTrebaSi moxvdes~. . . am mocemulobas kargad iyenebs kremli da dasavleTs axal moTxovnebs uyenebs – gavlenis sferoebis saxiT. ismis kiTxva: ras gulisxmobs realurad putiniseuli mravalpolusiani samyaro? eqspertis azriT, es aris gavlenis sferoebad dayofili teritoriebi, sadac iaraRi da narkotiki Tavisuflad iyideba, despoti mmarTvelebi, daCaCanakebuli mosaxleoba, rac ruseTis mizania. . .
sxvaTa Soris, analogiebs im ngrevisa da msxverplis masStabisa, romelic ruseTisgan Cven damoukideblobis mopovebidan dRemde viwvnieT, Znelad Tu vipoviT saqarTvelos istoriaSi. uamravi usiamovno faqtidan erTs gamovyof – ruseTs, sadac ki saSualeba mieca, ZirZveli qarTuli teritoriebi mizanmimarTulad gawminda eTnikuri qarTvelebisgan. magaliTad, cxinvalis regionSi ramdenime dReSi uamravi qarTuli sofeli ubralod mospo. garda amisa, kremli ideologiuradac gvebrZvis, sakmarisia avyveT mis politikas, propagandistul kliSeebs, movadunoT Cveni winaaRmdegoba da ruseTi warbSeuxrelad daSlis saqarTvelos saxelmwifos. es mizani rom ganaxorcielos, cxadia, igi dasavleTs unda gaurigdes. ramdenad mniSvnelovani iqneba Tundac trampisTvis evrokavSiri, nato da miT umetes samxreT kavkasia? am kiTxvebs xSirad svamen analitikosebi. rogorc cnobilia, donald trampi araordinaruli pirovnebaa. drodadro is dasavleTisTvis gaugonar gancxadebas akeTebs, rom putinTan SeiZleba molaparakeba, oms 24 saaTSi daasrulebs da a. S. aqedan gamomdinare, politologebi msoflioSi did cvlilebebs da msoflios axal gadanawilebas winaswarmetyveleben. udavoa, rom mimdinareobs axali msoflio marTlwesrigis damyarebis procesi. es mniSvnelovani sakiTxia – anu SeZlebs Tu ara msoflio Tanamegobroba ruseTis Sekavebas ukrainaSi, romelic, eqspertTa azriT, axali msoflio wesrigis damyarebis konteqstSi unda ganvixiloT. rogorc cnobilia, meore msoflio omis Sedegad miviReT axali msoflio wesrigi. orma zesaxelmwifom – aSS-ma da sabWoTa kavSirma msoflio gadainawiles. swored amgvari movlenis ganmeorebas eswrfvis ruseTi. jerjerobiT moskovma dasavleTi gavlenis sferoebis dakanonebaze ver daiTanxma, Tumca aravin icis, isini samomavlod raze garigdebian. politikaSi vaWroba araxalia. amis magaliTebi araerTxel momxdara uaxloes istoriaSi, amitomac eqspertebi acxadeben, rom saqarTvelo civi gonebiT unda moqmedebdes sagareo politikaSi. swored amis Sesaxeb saubrobs saerTaSoriso urTierTobebis specialisti levan jayeli: `ruseTTan saubari rTulia, miT ufro okupirebuli teritoriebis deokupaciasTan dakavSirebiT. ara mgonia, am sakiTxSi Cven ruseTTan SeTanxmebas mivaRwioT. amJamad es SeuZlebelia, miuxedavad amisa, moskovTan saubari aucilebelia, Tumca am molaparakebebSi dasavleTic unda CaerTos, aSS-ma da evrokavSirma ruseTs nakisri valdebulebebis Sesruleba unda mosTxovon~. . .
rogorc vxedavT, msoflio daundobeli gaxda, mimdinareobs brZola teritoriebisa da ZalauflebisTvis. udavoa, Tu putins ukrainaSi gamarjvebis saSualeba miecema, kremlis tipis imperializmi msoflios daubrundeba. am SemTxvevaSi ruseTs ra SeaCerebs moldovis, saqarTvelos, somxeTis da yazaxeTis dapyrobaSi? araferi. amitom Tu dasavleTs surs, rom saerTaSoriso samarTlis normebi liton sityvebad ar darCes, kremlis ambiciebi unda daiTrgunos, raTa postsabWoTa qveynebs ganviTarebis da keTildReobis saSualeba mieces.